The projection industry is facing the "Moore's Law" of LED light sources

"Moore's Law" is a very important statistical law of the semiconductor industry. Although many people are skeptical that this law is about to expire, there are still many industries that are similar to the traditional semiconductor industry will apply to this law in the early stages of development.

Moore's Law was proposed by GordON Moore, one of Intel's (IntEL) founders. The content is: The number of transistors that can be accommodated on the integrated circuit will double approximately every 18 months, and the performance will also double, or that consumers can double their performance at the same price after 18 months. The product. At present, this law is once again a reality in the semiconductor LED light source for projectors and LED light source technology.

In the past three years, the use of LED light source technology for projectors has continued to improve, and the incredible development rate of brightness has been doubled, reduced by half in volume and the price has dropped by half every 18 months. In 2007, 50 lumens of LED light source projectors cost more than 13,000. At present, this level of product volume is not only the original one-fifth, or even smaller, the price has dropped to less than 3,000 yuan.

In the future, people in the industry believe that Moore's Law of LED light source projectors will still be the key to the development of this new type of technology. At present, the maximum brightness of the products in the laboratory stage can reach 2000-3000 lumens, and many companies such as Samsung also expressed the desire to launch 500 lumens of economical LED light source projector products in 2011.

Another study showed that in 2011, the brightness of the LED light source miniature handheld projector is also eager to increase from the current 15 lumens to 30 lumens, and the brightness of the mainstream new products will reach the level of 70-80 lumens. At the same time, the LED light source of the larger handheld projector products will be able to support the 100-300 lumens products of the whole machine to be “cheap” and enter the popular market of 3,000 yuan level. With technical progress, the sales of LED light source projectors will increase by more than double the annual rate.

In accordance with this growth rate, it is expected that by 2013 to 2014, LED light source projections can enter the commercial and educational mainstream market in batches. By then, combined with three emerging products, such as miniature projection, palm projection, and other LED light source projection units for other handheld devices, the sales of LED light source projectors are eager to increase to nearly 10 million units each year.

The rapid rise of LED light source projector has become the consensus of the industry, and has become one of the important forces to change the projector industry structure. At present, the main LED light source projector suppliers basically use DLP projection technology, and mainly Korean and Taiwanese brands. Japanese brands such as Casio and NEC also attach importance to this technology. However, the Epson-based LCD projector camp is currently not enthusiastic about the technology. However, industry insiders believe that as the leader of the global projection market, Epson is more likely to apply the "post-mortem" strategy.

However, in the emerging micro-projector market for handhelds and handhelds, the industry believes that this product is closer to consumer electronics: the earlier the layout, the more powerful the accumulation of brand reputation and market awareness. This is also currently Samsung, macro? , BenQ, LG, Dell and other brand companies have vigorously launched one of the reasons for LED light source projector products. For these brands, LED light sources are responsible for breaking the monopoly of Epson and other Japanese giants.